Confidence among business leaders in US at 20-year high

Confidence among US business leaders is stronger than it has been for 20 years, according to a long-running measure of boardroom…

Confidence among US business leaders is stronger than it has been for 20 years, according to a long-running measure of boardroom attitudes, as rising profits finally encourage companies to start hiring.

The quarterly survey by the Conference Board confirms last week's official employment data suggesting concerns about a jobless recovery may be waning.

In recent quarters, companies have been wary of hiring staff, preferring to make greater use of existing capacity. But continued growth and record profitability appear to be convincing managers that productivity improvements alone may not be enough to meet rising demand.

Half the chief executives who responded to the board's latest poll said they expected employment in their industry to rise, compared with just 12 per cent predicting a fall. This is the most optimistic response on jobs since the research group began its analysis in 1976.

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Overall confidence levels on the economy are the highest since 1983, with more than three-quarters of chief executives expecting continued growth over the next six months.

Ms Lynn Franco, director of the board's consumer research centre, said: "We were expecting a strong confidence reading given the last two quarters of back-to-back growth, but the optimism about hiring is particularly interesting and suggests we may have turned the corner. They now foresee enough growth that, despite productivity gains, they will need to hire more bodies."

The bullish results, based on responses from more than 100 members of the Conference Board, follow signs of a turnaround in official US employment data, which last week showed the biggest monthly increase for four years.

Confidence polls reflect only a partial snapshot of the mood among some business leaders, but the Conference Board's results are nevertheless in line with other recent surveys showing a rising trend.