Consumer sentiment hits four-year high

Consumer sentiment hit a four-year high last month driven by indications of buoyant spending in post-Christmas sales.

Consumer sentiment hit a four-year high last month driven by indications of buoyant spending in post-Christmas sales.

The IIB/ESRI index hit 106.8, up from 103.8 in December, with one in every two consumers indicating that now was a good time to purchase "big ticket" items - partly due to substantial price discounting on the back of a strong euro and a reduction worldwide in the price of electrical goods.

"The sharp improvement in consumers' perceptions of the current environment reflects the view that January was a good time to purchase major items," said ESRI economist Mr David Duffy.

"Historically, this component has improved every January, reflecting at least in part the January sales, followed by a more subdued figure in February."

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The three-month moving average, which smooths out short-term volatility, rose to 101.1 in January, up from 98.7 in December and 80.8 in January 2004.

The one black spot was the employment outlook, which was attributed to a spate of high-profile redundancy announcements in the past few weeks.

The deterioration in the jobs outlook follows a sharp rise in confidence in this area in December but IIB believes the decline may be a temporary blip.

"While the trend in consumer sentiment is clearly improving, the downgrading of the employment outlook suggests there is still a sensitivity to bad economic news," said IIB chief economist Mr Austin Hughes.

The survey was conducted with 1,200 people in the first two weeks of the month.

Dominic Coyle

Dominic Coyle

Dominic Coyle is Deputy Business Editor of The Irish Times