Warren Gatland AnalysisThe changes to the Lions team needed to be made. It has been selected more on form this time and, in terms of the pressure they are under, I actually don't think they have anything to lose now. These players have been given an opportunity go out and perform. It's also an opportunity for the Lions management and the coaching staff to sell them something. It's a great opportunity to salvage the series and the Lions' reputation, to stake a claim for a place next week.
You've got to give Andy Robinson and Clive Woodward credit. They've put their hands up and bravely said they got things wrong. You have to take criticism at times in this game if you're a coach, but they've been pretty honest about the first Test and it takes courage to do that.
They've copped a huge amount of criticism, not just in the UK and Ireland, but from the media and public here as well. The annoying thing from my perspective, having worked in the Northern Hemisphere for the last few years, is that the general perception now is that the Lions haven't really improved. I was half hoping they'd come down here and show there are some really good things happening in Northern Hemisphere rugby, but unfortunately to date, that hasn't happened.
With the Springboks beating the French, and the best of the four home unions being beaten comprehensively by the All Blacks, it's hard to make a case for Northern Hemisphere rugby.
The one thing which the Lions will have been working on all week is getting their set-pieces right. I hope they've addressed the point that I made after the first Test about the engagement of the scrum, when the All Blacks' frontrow only crouched a quarter of the way and then on the referee's instructions to crouch and engage, continued on in one movement into the hit.
I hope that they've had a look at that and have addressed it with the referee because that's important and obviously the lineout needs to work.
As I know, they have the ability in the jumpers. A lot of people have been critical of Paul O'Connell and he's not been dominating as much as they would have expected. He is judged by very high standards, because he is such a huge talent as a player, and has the potential to give real leadership. He needs to step up this week as the senior partner in the secondrow.
Shane Byrne has been made a bit of a scapegoat for what went wrong last week, and there is an argument for playing him again, but they probably feel that Steve Thompson can add a bit more brawn to their game. I feel a bit sorry for Byrne, because Andy Robinson probably has a different idea of how to run the lineouts and that had an effect on the team last week.
I think it will be a more dangerous team because of the ball carriers they've got. The Lions have simply got to start getting across the gain line occasionally. I think Gavin Henson and Gareth Thomas will do that, and I think Jonny Wilkinson will play a lot closer to the gain line. For whatever reason, Stephen Jones was too deep last week for my liking.
I'm really excited about Ryan Jones getting an opportunity. He had that big game against Otago and he made a good impression last week. I think Clive has picked a better pack, particularly the back five. He's picked players in form such as Donncha (O'Callaghan), who has really performed, and Simon Easterby has taken his chance.
The number seven slot was always up for grabs between Neil Back, Martyn Williams and Lewis Moody, and he's gone for Moody, which is probably a little bit of a surprise. But Woodward is probably taking that youth factor into account that we talked about last week. Moody will run all day and will have a nothing-to-lose attitude.
They've got their backs to the wall now. From a human side of things, they should close the door and develop an us-against-the-world mentality. But, of course, they can't close the door on all those people in one room and then jump on one bus together. They'd need three buses. It's a bit difficult to develop a siege mentality. You need smaller numbers for that.
However, if they get their set-pieces right and get a few carriers over the gain line, with their backs to the wall, they've got a fighting chance. I can see this being a close game, with the possibility of a Lions win.
Everything will need to go well for the Lions, and perhaps they may profit from a bit of over-confidence by the All Blacks. However, there's also the possibility the All Blacks could win by 30 or 40 points. They've brought in the form player in the Super 12; they have the best player on the All Blacks' tour last autumn at fullback and a scrumhalf who dominated the game against France eight months ago. Ironically, therefore, they could well be stronger, and particularly if the weather is good.
There doesn't appear to be any disharmony in the Lions' camp, at least not to the extent of four years ago when signals of unhappiness leaked out from the camp in player columns.
You'd like to think they've made tactical changes so that the players can go into the game with confidence. If they lose, and lose badly, the temptation would be to send half the coaching and back-up staff home.
Potentially, they could go off the rails next week. With the amount of people he has out here, Clive will be desperate to avoid that, but this will largely be determined by the performance and the result tomorrow.