Surge at S&P driven by investors borrowing record amounts

Index registers fresh closing peak as margin debt hits record level

Trader Gregory Rowe (right) works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Though margin debt has been hitting record highs in recent months, it now stands at $451 billion on the NYSE, a rise of more than 20 per cent over the past year. Photograph: Jin Lee/Bloomberg

US stocks are being propelled to fresh highs by investors borrowing a record amount of money in a high stakes gamble that is raising concerns over the potential for a sharp correction in the five-year bull run. With the S&P 500 registering a fresh closing peak of 1,859.45 last week, margin debt – money borrowed to buy stocks – hit a record level in January, according to data from the New York Stock Exchange.

Peaks in the use of borrowed money have in the past been a precursor to big bear markets and is viewed as a warning sign. Though margin debt has been hitting record highs in recent months, it now stands at $451 billion on the NYSE, a rise of more than 20 per cent over the past year and above 2007’s peak of $381 billion. Five years ago it hit a low of $173 billion.

In past market peaks, excessive levels of margin debt exacerbated the subsequent slide in stocks, as investors were forced to quickly sell their holdings as prices fell, sparking a nasty downward spiral. – (Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2014)