Gildernew aims to hold what she has as DUP enters field

Constituency profile:  Eighteen years after the tragic Remembrance Sunday bombing in which 11 died, people in Enniskillen and…

Constituency profile:  Eighteen years after the tragic Remembrance Sunday bombing in which 11 died, people in Enniskillen and the constituency of Fermanagh-South Tyrone are getting on with their lives.

Enniskillen made world headlines that black day in 1987 but has hardly been in the news internationally since then - and the town is all the better for it.

Fermanagh-South Tyrone also made world headlines on April 9th, 1981 when it elected the IRA hunger-striker Bobby Sands as its abstentionist MP. But this did not save his life and Sands died on May 5th.

By coincidence, May 5th is the date of the current Westminster elections and the sitting MP is also a republican, Michelle Gildernew of Sinn Féin.

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She scraped in by a mere 53 votes in the last general election but the result stood, despite a court challenge from her nearest rival, James Cooper of the Ulster Unionist Party.

The highly-respected Enniskillen journalist Denzil McDaniel who, as well as being editor of The Impartial Reporter, has also written the definitive book on the 1987 bombing, believes Gildernew is going to hold the seat next Thursday.

"The real interesting one is how the two unionist candidates break down." McDaniel does not believe either Arlene Foster of the DUP or Ulster Unionist Tom Elliott can take the seat.

"It's just really a question of how far the DUP can go in overturning the Ulster Unionists in this area."

Fermanagh-South Tyrone has traditionally been a UUP stronghold and this is the first time the DUP have fought a Westminster election here.

Foster won a seat in the Northern Ireland Assembly as an anti-agreement Ulster Unionist in the 2003 elections, but shortly afterwards moved over to the DUP. "Arlene has taken an awful lot of support with her," says McDaniel. "There's no question about it, she's got them rattled. It's quite a bitter battle." McDaniel says the race between them is too close to call.

The UUP's Tom Elliott is county grand master of the Orange Order and served as a part-time soldier with the UDR and Royal Irish Regiment for 18 years. He is a farmer and farming issues are a strong focus of his campaign. Given that there is an inbuilt nationalist majority in the constituency, Elliott maintains only a UUP candidate can win the seat for unionism because republicans and nationalists will always unite to keep a "Paisleyite" out. Asked if he would consider Arlene Foster a Paisleyite, Elliott replies: "Why not, what party does she belong to?" But Arlene Foster says she has no regrets about her move to the DUP and gets on "very well" with Dr Paisley. "He's a much more charismatic leader than David Trimble."

Describing the mood in the unionist community she says: "They are worried about the growth of Sinn Féin. They also want to see a leadership from unionism that doesn't give away things that are dear to them, 'a concession a day to the IRA'."

With the Ulster Unionists it was a case of "pre-election tough talk and post-election climbdown" and she claims the UUP always "came out of every round of talks with less than they went in with".

The banner of constitutional nationalism is being upheld by the SDLP's Tommy Gallagher, who insists there is a swing back towards his party.

"Nationalists over the last two elections have been persuaded to vote for Sinn Féin, believing they were voting for peace and an end to the IRA, but we haven't had that." He says there is "disgust" among nationalists at "the intimidation and the interference of republicans in areas where they get control". He sees the recent appeal from Gerry Adams to the IRA as a mere electoral ploy and expresses concern at growing community polarisation as a result of the rise of Sinn Féin and the DUP.

Michelle Gildernew makes no bones about Sinn Féin's efforts to win over SDLP voters, by giving them "guarantees that we will work wholeheartedly on constituency issues, harder than anybody else".

As well as attending talks in Dublin, she has been a member of Sinn Féin delegations to Downing Street "at least a dozen times".