Euro area business activity slows again as recovery falters

Latest batch of PMI reports underscore fragility of the recovery in the 18- nation region

Workers prepare scaffolding at the construction site of the Berlin Fan Mile (Fanmeile) World Cup public viewing area near the Brandenburg Gate on June 12, 2014 in Berlin. Photograph: Sean Gallup/Getty Images)
Workers prepare scaffolding at the construction site of the Berlin Fan Mile (Fanmeile) World Cup public viewing area near the Brandenburg Gate on June 12, 2014 in Berlin. Photograph: Sean Gallup/Getty Images)

Euro-area manufacturing and services activity weakened in June amid a further slowdown in France’s economy, underscoring the fragility of the recovery in the 18- nation region, a survey showed today.

The region’s two biggest economies went their separate ways again, with German business activity expanding robustly, albeit at a slower pace than last month, while France’s private sector shrank at the fastest rate in four months.

"The overall picture is one of fairly sluggish growth as opposed to any rip-roaring acceleration," said Chris Williamson, Markit's chief economist. Markit's Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), based on surveys of thousands of companies across the region and seen as a good indicator of growth, fell to 52.8 from May's 53.5.

Readings above 50 indicate expansion, and Mr Williamson said that with a robust recovery evident in periphery countries the data still point to second-quarter economic growth of 0.4 percent. Germany, Europe's largest economy, was again the driving force although its composite PMI eased to 54.2 from 55.6. But the French index slumped to 48.0 from 49.3, its lowest reading since February.

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"In France the weakness does seem to be quite set in and there is little prospect for any improvement as we move into the second half," Mr Williamson said. Also somewhat worryingly for the European Central Bank, a composite PMI sub-index measuring output prices held below the 50 mark for the 27th month, coming in at 49.7 as firms kept cutting prices to lure customers despite soaring input costs.

Inflation slowed to just 0.5 per cent in May, pushing the ECB to cut interest rates to record lows and offer a new series of long-term loans.

A PMI survey of the bloc’s dominant service industry fell to 52.8 from May’s near three-year high of 53.2, confounding expectations for a modest rise to 53.3. However, some of that activity was driven by service firms running down old orders after building up a small surfeit last month. The backlogs of work sub-index fell to 49.6 from 50.1.

The manufacturing PMI also dipped, dropping to 51.9 from 52.2. The output index, which feeds into the composite PMI, sank to 52.8 from 54.3. Still, factories took on staff again to meet demand - the employment sub-index nudged down to 50.4 from 50.5, staying in growth territory.

Euro zone unemployment dipped marginally to 11.7 per cent in April from 11.8 per cent.

Reuters