Governments not hopeful of avoiding Assembly elections

Martin McGuinness is understood to have been diagnosed with a rare genetic disorder

Speaking to reporters outside Leinster House, Sinn Féin leader Gerry Adams has said that Arlene Foster treated Martin McGuinness in 'a dismissive way'. Video: Sinn Féin

A last-ditch round of meetings will take place in Belfast on Thursday between Northern Ireland's political parties, Minister for Foreign Affairs Charlie Flanagan and Northern Secretary James Brokenshire in a bid to avert Stormont Assembly elections.

However, both the Irish and British governments believe there is little realistic chance elections can be avoided, according to senior figures in both administrations.

Yesterday, Taoiseach Enda Kenny met Sinn Féin leader Gerry Adams in Dublin and spoke to DUP leader Arlene Foster and former deputy first minister Martin McGuinness by telephone. Mr McGuinness resigned from his position on Monday in protest at Ms Foster's refusal to step aside temporarily while an inquiry took place into the "cash for ash" renewable heat incentive scheme.

Despite the planned talks in Belfast both the Irish and British governments believe there is little realistic chance Stormont elections can be avoided. Photograph: Paul Faith/AFP/Getty Images
Despite the planned talks in Belfast both the Irish and British governments believe there is little realistic chance Stormont elections can be avoided. Photograph: Paul Faith/AFP/Getty Images

Sinn Féin has said it will not nominate a replacement, which makes Assembly elections inevitable.

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Sinn Féin has declined to say if Mr McGuinness will be a candidate in the expected elections. The Irish Times understands Mr McGuinness has been diagnosed with a rare genetic disorder called hereditary ATTR amyloidosis, which affects the nervous system and the heart to varying extents. A particular form of the disease, known as ATTR T60A (or Thr60AIa) amyloidosis has been identified as affecting a small section of the population in Donegal, almost all of whom share a common ancestor. Medical experts say the disease progresses slowly.

Private matter

Following questions, Mr McGuinness, in a statement issued through his spokesman, said: “I have always considered my health a private matter. The media in the main has respected my privacy. I am thankful to them for that. I am very disappointed that

The Irish Times

are not respecting that privacy and believe that this will cause my family distress.”

Last night, Mr Adams said that while he remained open to discussions with the DUP, he did not see “any basis for credible negotiations this side of an election”.

The Taoiseach urged everyone to seize the chance for last-minute talks to avoid an election. “A limited window for dialogue remains and I am encouraging the parties to engage together to find a way forward that delivers on the promise of the Good Friday Agreement and its institutions.”

However, senior figures in both governments are pessimistic that a breakthrough is possible that could see the executive resuscitated before next Monday’s 5pm deadline. Earlier, Mr Brokenshire indicated that he had accepted that elections were inevitable.

Sinn Féin urged him to call elections as soon as possible, telling him the party would not be nominating an Assembly member to replace Mr McGuinness as deputy first minister before next Monday’s deadline for doing so.

Former SDLP deputy first minister Seamus Mallon has called for an investigation into "corruption" in the Executive, which has been there, he alleged, "right down this last 10 or 12 years".

Pat Leahy

Pat Leahy

Pat Leahy is Political Editor of The Irish Times