Far-right gains expected in French mayoral elections

Voters set to punish president Hollande which could prompt a cabinet reshuffle

A French citizen casts his ballot at a polling station in Nice during the French mayoral elections today. Photograph: Eric Gaillard/Reuters.
A French citizen casts his ballot at a polling station in Nice during the French mayoral elections today. Photograph: Eric Gaillard/Reuters.

French president Francois Hollande’s Socialists braced for losses in hundreds of towns and villages in mayoral elections today, with far-right National Front candidates seen winning a handful of cities for the first time since 1995.

The runoff round of voting comes at the end of a week that saw French unemployment surge to a new record, making a reverse of first round losses unlikely and a cabinet reshuffle by Mr Hollande possible as soon as tomorrow.

Some 80 per cent of French voters want him to dismiss prime minister Jean-Marc Ayrault, according to a poll last week, and ambitious and tough-talking interior minister Manuel Valls is their favourite for the job.

A dog waits as its owner stands in a polling booth at a polling station in Nice during the French mayoral elections. Photograph: Eric Gaillard/Reuters.
A dog waits as its owner stands in a polling booth at a polling station in Nice during the French mayoral elections. Photograph: Eric Gaillard/Reuters.

"I can't see how (Mr Ayrault) could stay, unless we save about 30 towns, something nobody really believes," a Socialist Party source said.

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Dissatisfaction with Mr Hollande’s rule and a string of legal intrigues involving opposition conservatives are seen hitting turnout.

The streets of Paris were quiet this morning near the old stock exchange building in central Paris, without the queues at polling stations typically seen on an election day.

"I'm scandalised by these imbeciles who don't vote," said Yann Dedet, a 67-year-old cinema producer, told Reuters after casting his ballot "for the Left, of course".

Turnout in last weekend’s first round was 63.5 per cent - considered low by commentators in a country with a strong attachment to its mayors, who wield considerable local power.

A high abstention rate is seen helping the anti-immigrant FN win in the depressed post-industrial north and in southern towns such as Beziers and Avignon.

Pollsters identify half a dozen FN-run towns emerging after the vote, giving the party a chance to try exercising power once more after its attempts to run four southern towns it won in 1995 and 1997 revealed its lack of competence.

The FN’s made a striking breakthrough last Sunday by winning power outright in the northern town of Henin-Beaumont, a former coal-mining centre with unemployment now around 18 percent.

Polls show the Socialists are favourite to hang on to Paris, where the gaffe-prone efforts of the conservative candidate to lure so-called “bobo” (bourgeois-bohemian) voters have been widely derided on social media.

Despite the election losses, Mr Hollande’s government has said it will stick with economic reforms and spending cuts, including a plan to phase out €30 billion in payroll tax on companies in exchange for hiring more workers.

A government source said Paris was also preparing tax breaks for households, which would raise new questions over whether France can fulfil a promise of bringing its public deficit down below the European Union target of 3 per cent of gross domestic product.

Reuters