European natural gas futures fell again to their lowest level in almost two months as nations intensify efforts to ease the energy crisis with the start of the heating season less than two weeks away.
Benchmark prices dropped as much as 8.8 per cent on Monday, extending last week’s decline. Germany, the UK and others plan to spend billions to ease their reliance on Russian imports, rescue local energy companies, and cap prices to alleviate pressures on businesses and households.
“The situation in European energy markets has started to improve across the last three weeks as policy action has taken shape and increasing evidence of price-induced demand response has emerged,” analysts at Timera Energy said in a note on Monday.
Discussions on the European Commission’s proposals to help reduce the impact of the crunch continue and need to be signed off by member states. The plans include raising €140 billion from higher taxes on energy companies, mandatory curbs on power use during peak hours and increasing liquidity.
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High deliveries of liquefied natural gas are also playing into the bearish sentiment, with the recently started Eemshaven LNG terminal boosting Europe’s ability to import cargoes.
Germany’s decision on Friday to seize control of Russian firm Rosneft’s German oil refinery is seen as the first step in an overhaul that could give Berlin more control over the energy sector in Europe’s largest economy. The government is also in talks to nationalise Germany’s biggest gas importers, including Uniper and VNG, according to people familiar with the discussions.
The U.K. is developing a plan that may halve energy rates for many businesses, as part of a £40 billion (€46 billion) support package being finalised by new prime minister Liz Truss. France wants to cap energy-price hikes for households, a move that will cost the government a net €16 billion in 2023, according to finance minister Bruno Le Maire.
The effectiveness of these measures will be tested as Europe’s winter season begins and traders will focus on gas-storage levels. European inventories are about 86 per cent full, slightly above the five-year average, according to Gas Infrastructure Europe.
Despite easing in recent weeks, gas prices are still more than seven times above the average for this time of year, worsening inflation and putting economies on the brink of recession. Demand is expected to gradually creep up ahead of the October 1st start of the heating season.
“The European gas market remains on a knife edge as winter approaches, the Timera Energy analysts said.
Temperatures are set to decline to below normal toward the end of the month, weather forecasts show.
Dutch front-month gas, the European benchmark, was down 0.8 per cent, trading at 186.38 euros per megawatt-hour in afternoon trading in Amsterdam, after dropping to the lowest since July 25 on an intraday basis. The UK market is closed for the queen’s funeral.
Power prices declined too. Benchmark German year-ahead futures fell much as 8 per cent to €470 a megawatt-hour. — Bloomberg
