Exchequer numbers strengthen Government’s hand

Returns up 10% on last year as all four main tax areas ahead of target

The Department of Finance said the performance was consistent with the recovering labour market, solid employment growth and increases in average weekly earnings. Photograph: Bloomberg
The Department of Finance said the performance was consistent with the recovering labour market, solid employment growth and increases in average weekly earnings. Photograph: Bloomberg

The Government has received a major boost ahead of the forthcoming budget with the latest exchequer returns showing tax revenue running €1.4 billion ahead of target.

The figures for the first eight months of the year were buoyed by an unexpected bounce in corporation tax receipts, which came in at €3.3 billion, 38 per cent or €912 million above profile.

This helped reduce the exchequer deficit to €1.3 billion, down from €6.3 billion at the end of August last year. The deficit is now forecast to come in well below 2 per cent of gross domestic product by the year’s end.

The figures show tax receipts for the first eight months were €27.3 billion, €2.4 billion or 10 per cent higher than last year, with all four main tax heads – income tax, VAT, excise duty and corporation tax –  running ahead of target.

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Income tax

Income tax, the biggest revenue draw for the Government, came in at €11.2 billion for the period, representing a year- on-year increase of €639 million or 6 per cent.

The Department of Finance said the performance was consistent with the recovering labour market, solid employment growth and increases in average weekly earnings .

VAT generated €7.96 billion, €107 million above profile and €583 million up on last year, one of the clearest indications yet of retail sector recovery. Excise duty was €3.3 billion, €24 million up on projections and €223 million ahead of last year’s total at this stage.

Overruns

On the expenditure side, overruns in health (€283 million) and social protection (€106 million) were offset by savings in other areas. This meant total net voted expenditure came in at €27.3 billion, €297 million below profile.

There were also capital expenditure savings of €78 million and savings on debt interest of €396 million or 8.1 per cent, related to the refinancing of International Monetary Fund loans earlier this year.

The figures suggest the Government will end the year with €2 billion more in tax than it originally forecast and double what it predicted in the spring.

Eoin Burke-Kennedy

Eoin Burke-Kennedy

Eoin Burke-Kennedy is Economics Correspondent of The Irish Times