Irish climate to become ‘unrecognisable’ if action on emissions is delayed

Ireland has almost no pristine rivers left and is producing ‘more waste than ever’, State of Environment report finds

Illustration: Paul Scott
Illustration: Paul Scott

Nothing short of rapid transformation of Ireland’s energy, food and transport systems is required “to shift our society on to a sustainable trajectory”, according to the 2024 State of the Environment report.

“It is imperative that substantial investments in key infrastructure prioritise environmental protection as a cornerstone of Ireland’s future development,” the report from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) published on Thursday states.

It finds policies, plans and regulations are having a positive but limited impact and “entirely inadequate to deliver a healthy environment”.

The latest four-year assessment issued by the EPA collates unprecedented amounts of data, and provides detailed analysis on key environmental themes including performance on implementing policy. These include:

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Nature/biodiversity: The challenges of protecting the wide diversity of Ireland’s habitats and species are now more serious than ever. “The quality of natural habitats and the species they support are declining ... continuing with a ‘business-as-usual approach’ will mean nature and our wild places will continue to fragment and biodiversity will continue to decline.”

To change the current unsustainable path will require consideration of biodiversity at every step of development and in sectoral plans and policies – “a whole-of-Government, whole-of-society approach to managing and protecting biodiversity”.

EPA
EPA

Agriculture: Farming is an integral part of the fabric of Irish society with a key role in delivering a healthy environment. However, food systems which depend on a healthy environment are not meeting sustainability targets. Many plans and programmes are in place with positive actions at farm-scale, “but there is no clear evidence current measures will collectively achieve the scale of environmental outcomes that are needed”.

Soil: The health of soils must be prioritised to ensure food security and safeguard its “environmental services”. Mapping and assessing soil health needs to be scaled up, given threats from excess nutrients, compaction and lack of soil biodiversity.

Land use: Co-ordination and collaboration on land use is urgently needed, so it stores carbon and “provides the food, energy and materials we depend on while also regenerating the quality of our natural environment. This will require sustained engagement with landowners to develop a vision that achieves this and adequate support to make it happen.”

EPA
EPA

Climate action: A rapid increase in electric generation from renewables and early signs of increases in public transport use indicate progress but we are significantly off track to meet national and EU targets for cutting emissions. Early and rapid global action on emissions reductions is likely to leave an Irish climate that, by 2100, is still broadly recognisable in comparison with today, it says. “On the other hand, delaying action is very likely to result in an Irish climate that will become increasingly unrecognisable as the century progresses.”

Energy: Wind energy, solar and bioenergy will be key to delivering short-term emission reductions, whereas offshore wind will become the key essential element of future energy use. “Enhanced regulatory and planning frameworks, and support schemes, are required to accelerate deployment of renewables, realise co-benefits and manage trade-offs.”

EPA
EPA

Growing electricity demand will result from electrification of the heat and transport sectors, while “additional and rapidly increasing demand” from large users will exert even more pressure on the grid.

Water quality: Water quality is not complying sufficiently with the EU Water Framework Directive and nutrient trends in water are not improving. Bathing water quality is of high quality but Ireland has persistently high levels of the E.coli strain known as STEC/VTEC which causes severe illness.

Transport: The sector is a major consumer of energy and material resources, and a source of environmental pollution, particularly greenhouse gases, air pollutants and noise. A sustainable, accessible and efficient transport system is not only important for the environment and wellbeing but is also a key enabler for the economy.

EPA
EPA

Integration of land use planning and transport planning is needed to achieve more compact development, incentivise moves away from private cars and move trips to rail, bus, cycling and walking. Shifting to these modes is essential for “a sustainable and climate-neutral transition”.

Industry: Industrial pollution is decreasing. Compliance with environmental regulation is high overall. However, a disproportionate number of sites in the food and drink sector, most notably dairy processing, and the waste sector “are not performing optimally”.

Unauthorised harvesting and extraction of peat on an industrial scale is causing destruction of Ireland’s natural habitats and compromising the vital role of peatlands in helping society mitigate the impacts of and adapt to climate change.

EPA
EPA

Air Pollution: Air quality has been improving but it still poses a significant health threat and the World Health Organisation advises there is no safe level of air pollution.

Noise: Noise pollution is a modern Irish reality with significant health threats. A recent “noise mapping” exercise indicates noise exposure from transport sources requires further investigation as over 1 million people are exposed to noise levels above thresholds set in the EU environmental noise directive (END).

Approximately 41 per cent people living in Dublin, Cork and Limerick were exposed to noise levels above the END mandatory reporting threshold – 8 per cent were “highly annoyed due to their exposure to road traffic noise” and about 2 per cent “highly sleep disturbed”. National policy for environmental noise “is not as well advanced” as in other areas, it finds. Local authorities with transport infrastructure bodies need to implement noise action plans in the priority areas identified using noise mapping.

Policy: Too many “serious deficits” remain in implementation of environmental legislation”; especially gaps “between what has been committed to and what is being delivered”.

Circular activities: Consumption of material resources is rising, and our recycling rates are not keeping pace, making it likely Ireland will not comply with EU targets.

Marine: The marine environment is healthy but coherence on policies is needed to ensure sustainable use of Ireland’s maritime area occurs without adverse impacts. Policy measures on developing offshore renewables and a target to protect 30 per cent of marine waters “need to be properly and quickly aligned”. While developments in spatial planning are progressing, Marine Protected Areas (MPA) legislation has been repeatedly delayed.

EPA
EPA

Health: The report highlights the absolute link between protecting our environment and protecting our health – “harm one and we harm the other”. Addressing harmful exposures (air pollution, radon, noise) and adapting to and mitigating climate impacts “will have a substantial benefit to our health and wellbeing and our environment”.

EPA
EPA

The EPA review underlines the need for collective action throughout society and public understanding of and support for what is required to ensure effective actions, given “the complex interactions between different activities across the economy that combine to worsen environmental pressures”.

“What is now needed is a strategic leap, a shared vision for how we will adapt our lives and work to protect our own existence within the next decade, and a national environmental policy statement that articulates and drives this transition,” said EPA director general Laura Burke.

Current progress was nowhere near good enough, she said. “We are always playing catch-up. We now have virtually no seriously polluted rivers, but we have hardly any pristine ones left, either. We now recycle more, but produce more waste than ever and export much of it.”

“Our energy, transport, food and industrial sectors are the core of where this transformation can, must, and will happen. We must harness all of our resources to meet this challenge. Not acting now only postpones inevitable change that will be much more difficult, and more costly, later on,” she said.

“It is clear that our environmental challenges are interconnected and they are complex. We need to drive action across climate, biodiversity, sustainable consumption and pollution goals,” said EPA director Dr Micheál Lehane. “This will not be easy and we cannot underestimate the challenges of moving to a path of a less wasteful, regenerative society.”

The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has highlighted “a rapidly closing window of opportunity to secure a liveable and sustainable future for all”, he added.

The report highlights this is of direct relevance to Ireland. “It is not negotiable. We need our air, water and natural environment to continue to prosper,” Mr Lehane said. “You either change for the environment now or the environment will irrevocably change us and how we live later. We, in Ireland, must do our part in making this sustainable future a reality.”

Kevin O'Sullivan

Kevin O'Sullivan

Kevin O'Sullivan is Environment and Science Editor and former editor of The Irish Times