Brexit: Majority of NI voters want UK to remain in EU

Poll finds 57 per cent of people in Northern Ireland intend to vote to stay in EU

There is a strong majority in favour of leaving the EU amongst unionist voters
There is a strong majority in favour of leaving the EU amongst unionist voters

The majority of people in Northern Ireland want to see the UK remaining in the EU, according to a new poll published today.

The poll, conducted online by LucidTalk and published in this morning’s Northern Ireland edition of the Sun newspaper, finds that 57 per cent of respondents intend to vote to remain in the EU while 35 per cent wish to leave. Those who are undecided but say they are planning to vote are at 9 per cent.

These overall figures represent little or no change from a comparable poll in April.

However, there is a strong majority in favour of leaving the EU amongst unionist voters, of whom some 69 per cent say they intend to vote for Brexit.

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This is an increase of 7 per cent since April. Just 18 per cent of unionist voters are in favour of remaining in the EU.

The situation amongst republican and nationalist voters is reversed. Four out of five (80 per cent) Sinn Féin/nationalist/people before profit voters say they will vote to remain in the EU, with just 11 per cent saying they are in favour of leaving. Even here though, the remain vote has dropped by 6 per cent since April.

The poll was carried out online between May 17th and May 19th. The project targeted the established Northern Ireland LucidTalk panel (1970 members) which is balanced by gender, age-group, area of residence, and community background, in order to be demographically representative of Northern Ireland.

All data results have been weighted by gender and community background to reflect the demographic composition of Northern Ireland, resulting in 1090 responses being considered in terms of the final results.

All data results produced are accurate to a margin of +/- 3 per cent at 95 per cent confidence.

Pat Leahy

Pat Leahy

Pat Leahy is Political Editor of The Irish Times