Election Diary: Gerry Moriarty makes his final predictions - the SDLP and the UUP should look away now.
The last party political broadcast of this campaign went to the Ulster Unionists. In it David Trimble asked voters if they wanted to see a "sectarian carve-up" or the "centre reinforced"?
Right now it appears most voters want the DUP to represent them at Westminster and the abstentionist Sinn Féin not to represent them there. Time will tell whether this is the appalling sectarian vista many fear.
This election could claim the hides of the leaders of the Ulster Unionist Party and the SDLP. David Trimble appears in serious trouble; Mark Durkan still has a fighting chance but is under serious pressure from Sinn Féin.
Lady (Sylvia) Hermon and Eddie McGrady may be the only obstacles to the DUP and Sinn Féin respectively whitewashing the UUP and the SDLP in the Westminster poll. The UUP and SDLP may fare better in the local elections which will be counted next week, but Westminster is the important high-profile test of who are the nationalist and unionist top dogs.
Some people will find that very scary but after a month or so on the campaign trail talking to the candidates and the voters, listening to the party pundits, and the objective psephologists with no political axe to grind, this is the election where the DUP and Sinn Féin may take control.
It might seem extraordinary that an intellectual, high-calibre politician of the international standing of David Trimble, a Nobel laureate, should appear under such danger of losing his seat and his party. He faces the DUP's David Simpson, who essentially is a bread-and-butter politician. But since failing to unseat Mr Trimble by 2,000 votes four years ago Simpson has worked this constituency well.
A surge of Catholic support for Trimble, particularly around Banbridge, might save him but that seems unlikely. He must never be written off but this time he may have exceeded his nine lives.
Over in Foyle it's more difficult to call. Sinn Féin placed an advertisement in the Derry Journal yesterday specifically urging young people to turn out for its candidate Mitchel McLaughlin. This could be the key to the result. I spoke to a middle-class woman yesterday in Derry who, increasingly angered over the murder of Robert McCartney and the allegations of IRA criminality, sent Sinn Féin canvassers away with a flea in their ear when they came calling. When she told her son what she had done, he chased after them to assure them he'd be voting Sinn Féin.
There is anecdotal evidence of people who, while previously SDLP, had "gifted" Sinn Féin votes in recent elections in Derry, but were now reverting to the SDLP. The SDLP indeed has fought a good campaign generally, far better than the UUP, and has concentrated resources in Foyle.
The Sinn Féin machine, though, is that bit slicker, more methodical, more precise in identifying where it must make gains - as in focusing on young voters, ensuring its supporters are on the register, gaining the majority of proxy and postal votes. There may not be much in it come the count on Friday but right now McLaughlin seems to have a very slight edge over Durkan.
Sinn Féin's Caitriona Ruane will make gains in South Down but Eddie McGrady should hold the seat for the SDLP. Lady Hermon's seat is by no means guaranteed against the DUP's Peter Weir in North Down but she should shade it.
The other big marginals are South Belfast and South Antrim. In the former, the SDLP's Dr Alasdair McDonnell has some chance of sneaking the seat if the UUP's Michael McGimpsey and the DUP's Jimmy Spratt split the unionist vote. The tide here though seems to be behind Spratt.
Alliance supporters voting tactically helped elect David Burnside for the UUP against the DUP's William McCrea in 2001. This time, though, he may have antagonised them back into the Alliance camp and here McCrea is the front-runner.
The DUP's Sammy Wilson should take East Antrim from the UUP's Roy Beggs. Nigel Dodds for the DUP should come home safely in North Belfast but Gerry Kelly's vote for Sinn Féin may indicate tougher battles to come. Jeffrey Donaldson should win in Lagan Valley for the DUP but might see his vote dented because of his defection to the DUP. Conor Murphy should win Newry and Armagh for Sinn Féin although Dominic Bradley trying to hold Seamus Mallon's old seat for the SDLP may do better than expected.
Other results appear fairly predictable. For the DUP: Ian Paisley in North Antrim; Peter Robinson in East Belfast; Iris Robinson in Strangford; and Gregory Campbell in East Derry. For Sinn Féin: Gerry Adams in West Belfast; Martin McGuinness in Mid Ulster; Pat Doherty in West Tyrone; and Michelle Gildernew in Fermanagh-South Tyrone.
Westminster, therefore, could look like this on Friday: DUP -10; Sinn Féin - 6; UUP - 1; SDLP - 1.