Stocktake: US recession outlook is key for stocks
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
Tech stocks have borne the brunt of the selling, losing some $3trn
Long-term investors have no choice but to be patient
Europe’s Stoxx 600 was ultimately flat in the week following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
Analysts say recession odds are low, and bear market outside of a recession is rare
Investors were lulled into complacency by 2021 but double-digit falls are normal
Analyst says last year bore most resemblance to 1995, another year of extraordinary gains
There have been as many yearly returns above 40% as returns in the 8%-12% range
Market volatility non-existent amid recurring new highs
Market reactions to geopolitical unrest can be counter-intuitive
Key index looks less pricey when you exclude the top 10 stocks
Study across 24 countries shows huge gap between client and adviser expectations
Stocks have gained 13%, and the worst peak-to-trough drawdown has been just 4.2%
The fact other developed markets trade at such a discount to US is worth noting
No one is attempting to justify some bubble valuations
Unfashionable value stocks soar while growth stocks such as Apple lag behind
Sentiment, valuations and earnings momentum suggest a time for caution
Day trading ‘virtually impossible’ to make a living from – but that’s not stopping some from trying
Buying all-time highs can be scary but the reality is new highs are normal
Many of the biggest market winners eventually become the biggest losers
Of those who did trade, the vast majority opted to buy rather than sell stocks
Sell-off a reminder the rollercoaster ride is not over yet
The Financial Times reported Japan’s five main online brokerages recorded over 500,000 new account in March and April
No one foresaw oil prices dropping into negative territory for first time in history
Stocks often rise when headlines are negative and fall when headlines are positive
No one knows if the recent rally represents a dead cat bounce or a genuine market bottom
Seven of Buffett’s top nine holdings down between 34 and 44 per cent but he’s unlikely to be bothered
Investors are always scared during bear markets but this is different
‘These are the days when you don’t need financial advice, you need a psychologist’
After a soaring decade for US stock market, returns could fall sharply in the new decade
A year of big gains feels out of the ordinary but is actually quite common
Opinion is divided over whether indexing poses a huge threat or adds to stability
Yield curve inversions’ reputation as a recession indicator is well deserved
Like poker players, investors should learn to think in terms of probabilities
Crosswords & puzzles to keep you challenged and entertained
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